The increase of $3,500 per car cost of Detroit car companies is affected by Trump's tariff policy. Bloomberg industry research analysis shows that if US President-elect Trump imposes proposed tariffs on imported goods from Canada and Mexico, the labor cost per car of American car companies may increase by more than $3,500, and if the production of auto parts returns to the United States, this figure may be higher. Considering the production scale of Ford Motor Company, General Motors Company and Stellantis Company in Mexico, they are likely to suffer the most, while Tesla and Gentex are likely to suffer the least.US President-elect Trump and De Santis discussed the possibility of his daughter-in-law Lala Trump running for the Senate seat in Florida.Bitcoin fell below $95,000 and fell nearly 3% in the day. Ethereum fell more than 6% and fell below $3,600.
Economists and market institutions believe that the economic growth target will remain at around 5.0% next year, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee will hold a meeting on December 9th. At the meeting, the deployment arrangements for economic work in 2025 have attracted much attention from the market. In particular, the meeting has many new expressions that positively set the tone for next year's macro policies, which has stimulated the market's expectation for the introduction of more relaxed incremental policies and stronger support for economic development next year. "Implementing a moderately loose monetary policy" is the first time in 14 years. It is expected that the central bank will take greater efforts to cut interest rates and lower the RRR next year; "Implementing a more active fiscal policy" is positive and proactive, and the direction of fiscal overweight is beyond traditional investment and people's livelihood, and it will further increase consumption and real estate. Looking forward to 2025, economists and market institutions believe that the economic growth target will remain at around 5.0% next year. Li Chao, deputy director and spokesperson of the Policy Research Office of the National Development and Reform Commission, said earlier that more than 300 major reform measures are being accelerated, the innovation-driven development strategy is being implemented in depth, and the real economy and the digital economy, advanced manufacturing and modern service industries are integrating and developing. (Securities Times)Industrial integration has injected new vitality, and the activity of mergers and acquisitions has increased. The data shows that since the beginning of this year, a total of 132 A-share companies have issued announcements related to mergers and acquisitions, compared with 82 in the same period last year. Among them, since the release of "Six Articles on Mergers and Acquisitions", nearly 50 listed companies have issued relevant announcements on mergers and acquisitions, and the process of mergers and acquisitions of listed companies has accelerated. Experts said that under the impetus of policies, the activity of mergers and acquisitions has been significantly improved, and industrial integration has become the main logic of mergers and acquisitions. Listed companies can seize the favorable opportunity of capital operation to promote mergers and acquisitions, which can quickly broaden their business fields, enrich their product matrix and achieve greater and stronger results. (china securities journal)The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 85.8%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 14.2%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 85.8%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.5%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 67.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22%.
Zhang Jun, chief economist of Galaxy Securities, believes that it is expected that the Bank of China will cut interest rates and RRR more vigorously next year, and the policy interest rate may be lowered by 40-60 basis points for the whole year, leading the five-year LPR to decline by 60-100 basis points, and the RRR may be lowered by 150-250 basis points for the whole year.National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC): Nearly 6 trillion yuan of government investment funds have been put into specific projects and are accelerating construction and implementation. Chengfeng Zhao, deputy director of the Investment Department of the NDRC, said that since the beginning of this year, the NDRC has made great efforts to increase government investment support, pay more attention to the accuracy and effectiveness of investment, and give full play to the driving amplification effect of government investment. This year, about 6 trillion yuan of government investment funds have been arranged, including 700 billion yuan of investment in the central budget, 1 trillion yuan of ultra-long-term special government bonds, 3.12 trillion yuan of local government special bonds for project construction, and 1 trillion yuan of additional government bonds in 2023, which are mainly used this year. At present, nearly 6 trillion yuan of government investment funds have been put into concrete projects, and the construction and implementation are being accelerated.Market information: US President-elect Trump discussed the possibility of his daughter-in-law Lala Trump running for the Senate seat in Florida.